Sean King Park Strategies http://sean-king.net Wed, 14 Jun 2017 18:31:55 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6.6 Taiwan’s List of Allies Against China Keeps Getting Shorter http://sean-king.net/2017/06/14/taiwans-list-allies-china-keeps-getting-shorter/ http://sean-king.net/2017/06/14/taiwans-list-allies-china-keeps-getting-shorter/#respond Wed, 14 Jun 2017 18:31:55 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=545 China has been so busy paying off Taiwan’s few diplomatic allies to switch allegiances to China that people in Taiwan are starting to bet on which country is next to go. China claims sovereignty over Taiwan and says that nation has no right to set up relations with foreign countries. The latest casualty in the […]

The post Taiwan’s List of Allies Against China Keeps Getting Shorter appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
China has been so busy paying off Taiwan’s few diplomatic allies to switch allegiances to China that people in Taiwan are starting to bet on which country is next to go. China claims sovereignty over Taiwan and says that nation has no right to set up relations with foreign countries.

The latest casualty in the China-Taiwan diplomatic game is Panama, which announced on June 12 that, after several decades of relations with Taiwan, it would break that relationship to sign with China instead.

“Panama’s move is a heavy body blow for Taiwan,” said Sean King, Senior Vice President of Park Strategies. “An obviously major shipping nation that uses the U.S. dollar, Panama has long been one of Taipei’s highest-profile diplomatic allies.” (The only higher profile one is the Vatican.)

Which countries are going to switch allegiances next? The bets are on these three:

Nicaragua. Although Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega gave Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen a warm welcome in January, Nicaragua has a history of breaking off diplomatic relations, having done so in 1985. There is also a question of Chinese control over the Interoceanic Canal, since Nicaragua gave responsibility for that canal to a Chinese businessman.

Paraguay. Paraguay established ties with Taiwan in 1957 and has never broken those ties. Taiwan has also offered a great deal of aid to Paraguay. However, changes in that nation’s leadership and the fact that Taiwan is no longer involved in “checkbook diplomacy” could make China’s invitations more enticing.

St. Lucia. This country was once an ally of China but signed on with Taiwan in 2007. However St. Lucia’s historic willingness to switch sides, plus the expiration of a 2012 truce between China and Taiwan, would make the island nation an easy target for China’s overtures.

Read the full story here.

The post Taiwan’s List of Allies Against China Keeps Getting Shorter appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
http://sean-king.net/2017/06/14/taiwans-list-allies-china-keeps-getting-shorter/feed/ 0
Mar-a-Lago is Wrong Venue For Trump-Xi Meeting – Bloomberg Radio http://sean-king.net/2017/04/05/mar-lago-wrong-venue-trump-xi-meeting-bloomberg-radio/ Wed, 05 Apr 2017 23:35:36 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=523 Sean King, Senior Vice President, Park Strategies joined Shery Ahn and Doug Krizner to discuss his concerns over the upcoming meeting between Trump and Xi at Mar-a-Lago. He started by looking at what impact yesterday’s missile launch by North Korea will have. Originally posted here.      

The post Mar-a-Lago is Wrong Venue For Trump-Xi Meeting – Bloomberg Radio appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Sean King, Senior Vice President, Park Strategies joined Shery Ahn and Doug Krizner to discuss his concerns over the upcoming meeting between Trump and Xi at Mar-a-Lago. He started by looking at what impact yesterday’s missile launch by North Korea will have.

Originally posted here.

 

 

 

The post Mar-a-Lago is Wrong Venue For Trump-Xi Meeting – Bloomberg Radio appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
What to Expect From Secretary Of State Rex Tillerson’s Trip to China http://sean-king.net/2017/03/16/expect-secretary-state-rex-tillersons-trip-china/ Thu, 16 Mar 2017 19:42:15 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=541 Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will travel to China on March 18 to meet with top-ranking Chinese officials and begin learning the intricacies of managing the U.S.’s complicated relationship with China. China is waiting for clarity and consistency from President Trump. Trump’s phone call Chinese President Xi Jinping in February eased some of the tensions […]

The post What to Expect From Secretary Of State Rex Tillerson’s Trip to China appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will travel to China on March 18 to meet with top-ranking Chinese officials and begin learning the intricacies of managing the U.S.’s complicated relationship with China.

China is waiting for clarity and consistency from President Trump. Trump’s phone call Chinese President Xi Jinping in February eased some of the tensions that arose after he took a call from Tsai Ing-wen, the president of Taiwan, in January. However, China still wants to know how serious the U.S is about helping Japan and South Korea defend themselves against North Korea and its nuclear and ballistic missile development.

Beijing officials will tell Tillerson and others that China will act responsibly to restrain North Korea, but they will most likely dispute the need for the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-missile system that the U.S. and South Korea are planning to build. They will also restate China’s claim to sovereignty in the South China Sea and remind Tillerson how economic agreements between the U.S. and China benefit American manufacturers, as well as importers on both sides.

Tillerson’s recent discussions on reaffirming a military alliance with Japan, not to mention his visit to South Korea to discuss THAAD and mutual defense against threats from the north, are not likely to sit well with China.

China will say it backs U.N. sanctions against North Korea but avoid agreeing to put more pressure on the Kim Jong-un regime.

“I think Secretary Tillerson will make the usual representations in Beijing, namely China’s unwillingness to rein in North Korea and its South China Sea islandbuilding,” says Sean King, Senior Vice President of New York political consultancy Park Strategies. “I suspect his hosts will listen politely but give no ground on either issue.”

Tillerson’s visit will lay the groundwork for Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to the U.S. in April, during which he will presumably be meeting President Trump for the first time. Both parties want to avoid any surprises that will further set back U.S.-China relations.

Read the full story here.

The post What to Expect From Secretary Of State Rex Tillerson’s Trip to China appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Interview on CNBC’s The Rundown 3/9/17: “South Korea Could be Torn Apart for Months” http://sean-king.net/2017/03/10/cnbc-the-rundown-south-korea-could-be-torn-apart-for-months/ Fri, 10 Mar 2017 21:36:23 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=514 In an interview on 3/9/17 before courts decided officially on the impeachment of president Park Geun-hye, Sean King of Park Strategies is quoted as saying, among other things, “This could be just the beginning in many ways, I think the country could be torn apart for months to come.”   A follow-up article posted on […]

The post Interview on CNBC’s The Rundown 3/9/17: “South Korea Could be Torn Apart for Months” appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>

In an interview on 3/9/17 before courts decided officially on the impeachment of president Park Geun-hye, Sean King of Park Strategies is quoted as saying, among other things, “This could be just the beginning in many ways, I think the country could be torn apart for months to come.”

 

A follow-up article posted on CNBC after the ruling to uphold the impeachment also quoted Sean King. When discussing public pressure on the courts he said, “The fact that judges were required to disclose their individual votes, unlike previous cases, also heightened the pressure on each justice.”

 

The post Interview on CNBC’s The Rundown 3/9/17: “South Korea Could be Torn Apart for Months” appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
One China Policy Is Outdated – Bloomberg Radio http://sean-king.net/2017/03/05/one-china-policy-outdated-bloomberg-radio/ Sun, 05 Mar 2017 21:36:30 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=516 Sean King of Park Strategies joined Bryan Curtis and Juliette Saly to discuss relations between Asian nations, including North Korea’s latest missile tests, China’s defense spending budget and where things stand with One China policy. Originally posted here.  

The post One China Policy Is Outdated – Bloomberg Radio appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Sean King of Park Strategies joined Bryan Curtis and Juliette Saly to discuss relations between Asian nations, including North Korea’s latest missile tests, China’s defense spending budget and where things stand with One China policy.

Originally posted here.

 

The post One China Policy Is Outdated – Bloomberg Radio appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Sean King Weighs in on Canada-US Trade Relations http://sean-king.net/2017/02/19/sean-king-weighs-canada-us-trade-relations/ Sun, 19 Feb 2017 19:34:01 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=538 Last week, President Donald Trump met with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to talk about revising portions of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Sean King, Senior Vice President of Park Strategies, offered his thoughts on the subject in a recent interview with the Vancouver Sun. “[Details on NAFTA changes] remain to be seen, […]

The post Sean King Weighs in on Canada-US Trade Relations appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Last week, President Donald Trump met with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to talk about revising portions of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Sean King, Senior Vice President of Park Strategies, offered his thoughts on the subject in a recent interview with the Vancouver Sun.

“[Details on NAFTA changes] remain to be seen, and that’s up to the trade negotiators to handle. But I think that Canadians can just know that—whatever changes are made—that they are not the main targets. There’s nobody out to get Canada,” King stated.

This comes as a relief to Canadian officials, many of whom had concerns about the renegotiation. But King was also quick to note that there would likely still be some friction, particularly in regards to softwood lumber.

“We do have our occasional disputes, but by and large, the Canada-US relationship is pretty solid and without acrimony,” King explained. “[Trump] has made it clear his main problem with NAFTA is more with the Mexican side than the Canadian side.”

As the former Senior Advisor for Asia in the U.S. & Foreign Commercial Service, King finds Trump’s withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership far more concerning. However, King does believe that it leaves an open opportunity for Canada and Japan to become even closer trading partners.

There’s been rumor about a bilateral negotiation between Tokyo and Ottawa for quite a while. But now that Japan’s ambassador to Canada has urged other countries to ratify the TPP in light of Washington’s rejection, it’s looking more and more like that’s the direction that the two countries will go.

“If Japan and Canada were to move forward—and I assume that Canada would not require currency to be part of it—I think it would be great for companies on both sides, and it may encourage people in the U.S. to get with the program and get on board, to show us what we are missing out on.”

Read the full story here.

The post Sean King Weighs in on Canada-US Trade Relations appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Trump Pledges to Honor ‘One China’ Policy http://sean-king.net/2017/02/11/trump-pledges-honor-one-china-policy/ Sat, 11 Feb 2017 23:31:09 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=536 In a February 9, 2017, phone call with Chinese President and General Secretary of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping, U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to withhold diplomatic recognition of Taiwan and continue to adhere to the “One China” policy. China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang didn’t directly address a question about whether China […]

The post Trump Pledges to Honor ‘One China’ Policy appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
In a February 9, 2017, phone call with Chinese President and General Secretary of the Communist Party of China Xi Jinping, U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to withhold diplomatic recognition of Taiwan and continue to adhere to the “One China” policy.

China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang didn’t directly address a question about whether China had to make any concessions in return.

Xi had made clear to the Trump administration that U.S. adherence to the “One China” policy was an absolute precondition for relations.

For Trump, the China call was part of a broader message to the region. In a February 10 meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Trump reassured Japan and other Asia-Pacific nations that he would not scale back the U.S. military presence in the region.

Analysts who study China said the change in Trump’s tone was inevitable, but some are disappointed.

“I guess I always knew President Trump would eventually reaffirm our One China policy, but I was at least hoping for a more open, frank discussion on its origins and continued relevance before doing so,” said Sean King, an Asia specialist and Senior Vice President at consulting firm Park Strategies.

King also said the turnaround would hurt Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen.

Although Taiwan was concerned that the island might become a chess piece in U.S.-Chinese relations, Trump’s call with Tsai shortly after his election had sparked celebrations as well as anxiety.

Trump’s agreement to continue the One China policy marks one in a series of stances toward Asia that he’s expressed since taking office.

During his campaign, Trump had threatened to impose a 45 percent trade tariff on Chinese goods and promised to declare China a currency manipulator. However, he told the Wall Street Journal in an interview before taking office that he wanted to speak with China before following through on these actions.

David Lampton, a professor at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, said China might be willing to improve the relationship between Washington and Beijing by doing such things as increasing pressure on North Korea over its nuclear threat or advancing talks on a bilateral investment treaty.

Eswar Prasad, a former China expert at the International Monetary Fund and a professor at Cornell University, said the move might be beneficial for U.S. businesses as well because it would ease economic and political tensions.

Read the full story here.

The post Trump Pledges to Honor ‘One China’ Policy appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Will US Deliver on Taiwan’s Expectation of Closer Ties? http://sean-king.net/2017/01/20/will-us-deliver-taiwans-expectation-closer-ties/ Fri, 20 Jan 2017 23:13:00 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=530 Taiwan looks forward to more military cooperation and high-level visits from the United States under Donald Trump—though both sides are likely to proceed carefully to avoid a backlash from China. Trump has already said that he’s open to renegotiating the “one China” policy toward Taiwan. Even if the U.S. does not begin recognizing Taiwan as […]

The post Will US Deliver on Taiwan’s Expectation of Closer Ties? appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Taiwan looks forward to more military cooperation and high-level visits from the United States under Donald Trump—though both sides are likely to proceed carefully to avoid a backlash from China.

Trump has already said that he’s open to renegotiating the “one China” policy toward Taiwan. Even if the U.S. does not begin recognizing Taiwan as a state, Washington wants to boost informal ties with Taiwan, especially if it would be helpful to business.

Strengthening that relationship would probably bring arms sales, military exchanges, and an increase in the number of senior-level visits to Taiwan. Although this irritates China, it does approximate what the U.S. has done over past administrations.

Trump says he opposes multi-nation foreign trade deals like the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which has raised hopes in Taiwan that he might consider bilateral trade or investment deals that make economic sense for American companies.

“As Trump’s spoken of his desire for possible free trade agreements with partners who share our values and ideals, one can’t rule out the prospect of a Trump administration launching FTA negotiations with Taiwan one day,” said Sean King, Senior Vice President of consultancy firm Park Strategies.

Taiwanese president Tsai Ing-wen had a phone conversation with Trump on Dec. 2, during which they discussed security and Taiwan’s international space. Tsai still hopes to avoid provoking China, which responded to the call between her and Trump by persuading a Taiwan ally to turn to China instead. China also passed an aircraft carrier near the island last week, demanding that Trump drop any plans to give Taiwan formal recognition.

Tsai is expected to follow Trump’s lead in building stronger relations but avoid action that would provoke China by making Beijing feel that Taiwan wants formal diplomatic recognition from the U.S.

Read the full story here.

The post Will US Deliver on Taiwan’s Expectation of Closer Ties? appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Beijing is Singling Out Rivals to Wrest Control of South China Sea http://sean-king.net/2017/01/16/beijing-singling-rivals-wrest-control-south-china-sea/ Mon, 16 Jan 2017 23:20:02 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=533 The South China Sea is officially contested by six governments, all of which need fish, suspect there’s oil to be found there, or who just like the control that comes from claiming ownership of a sea that stretches almost 2,000 miles from Taiwan to Singapore. China is the largest of the powers vying for control […]

The post Beijing is Singling Out Rivals to Wrest Control of South China Sea appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
The South China Sea is officially contested by six governments, all of which need fish, suspect there’s oil to be found there, or who just like the control that comes from claiming ownership of a sea that stretches almost 2,000 miles from Taiwan to Singapore.

China is the largest of the powers vying for control of the South China Sea. It has passed vessels into contested waters, built artificial islands, engaged in a boat-ramming clash with Vietnam, and wrangled with the Philippines over its claims to the body of water. In July of 2016, the Philippines took China to a world arbitration court and won a verdict against China’s historical claims.

But the court’s ruling hasn’t caused China to back down. Instead, the nation seems to be coming on even stronger than before. Since the election of Rodrigo Duterte to the presidency of the Philippines, the two nations have decided to put the past behind them as Duterte diversifies his country’s foreign policy away from the United States.

The most surprising potential fall of an enemy would be Vietnam, and it looks like that may be on the horizon. In January 2017, Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong visited China to talk with Chinese Communist Party General Secretary Xi Jinping and six other fellow Communist officials. Chinese state media say that the two nations issued a communiqué in January proposing negotiations on maritime disputes and interim answers that will not compromise either side’s political position.

Vietnam might just be “hedging bets” because U.S. president Donald Trump’s America is hard to predict, said Sean King, Senior Vice President of the consultancy firm Park Strategies.

Even if the agreement with Vietnam is a repeat of points from a 2002 Declaration on the Conduct of the Parties in the South China Sea signed by countries throughout Southeast Asia, the agreement, along with the softening of relations with the Philippines, points to a change: China is apparently seeking to neutralize its opponents by working things out with them, one by one.

Read the full story here.

The post Beijing is Singling Out Rivals to Wrest Control of South China Sea appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>
Starting Gate | Interview with Sean King http://sean-king.net/2017/01/12/starting-gate-interview-sean-king/ Thu, 12 Jan 2017 00:38:59 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=508 Sean King of Park Strategies appears on Bloomberg TV Philippines “Starting Gate” to talk about current trade relations between Japan, the U.S., and the Philippines.  

The post Starting Gate | Interview with Sean King appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>

Sean King of Park Strategies appears on Bloomberg TV Philippines “Starting Gate” to talk about current trade relations between Japan, the U.S., and the Philippines.

 

The post Starting Gate | Interview with Sean King appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

]]>