News – Sean King Park Strategies http://sean-king.net Sat, 30 Sep 2017 00:11:22 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6.7 ABS-CBN News: Fresh US sanctions on N. Korea may weaken Kim regime http://sean-king.net/2017/09/22/abs-cbn-news-fresh-us-sanctions-n-korea-may-weaken-kim-regime/ Fri, 22 Sep 2017 22:02:22 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=623   The new sanctions imposed by the United States on North Korea may not necessarily affect Pyongyang’s nuclear program but can weaken the regime of its leader Kim Jong-Un, Sean King of advisory firm Park Strategies said Friday.

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The new sanctions imposed by the United States on North Korea may not necessarily affect Pyongyang’s nuclear program but can weaken the regime of its leader Kim Jong-Un, Sean King of advisory firm Park Strategies said Friday.

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Nuclear Armament Not the Way to Deter North Korea http://sean-king.net/2017/09/14/nuclear-armament-not-way-deter-north-korea/ Thu, 14 Sep 2017 10:00:53 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=633 If South Korea were to obtain nuclear weapons, that would not stop North Korea’s military provocations or deter its nuclear threats, according to experts on the North. In fact, if anything, deploying tactical nuclear weapons would only give Pyongyang more reason to speed up development of its nuclear capacity. While the frustration at North Korea’s […]

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If South Korea were to obtain nuclear weapons, that would not stop North Korea’s military provocations or deter its nuclear threats, according to experts on the North.

In fact, if anything, deploying tactical nuclear weapons would only give Pyongyang more reason to speed up development of its nuclear capacity.

While the frustration at North Korea’s behavior is understandable, the experts say, calls to reintroduce nuclear weapons in the South would do little to strengthen the deterrent and would provide more justification for Pyongyang to continue with its own nuclear program.

Following North Korea’s sixth and most powerful nuclear test on September 3, people in both the U.S. and the South are calling for the redeployment of tactical nuclear weapons.

Analysts said that the decision to reintroduce nuclear weapons cannot and should not be made quickly. The decision would have long-term political and strategic consequences both in the region and perhaps in the world as a whole.

Sean King, Senior Vice President of Park Strategies, says he believes that South Korea having its own nuclear weapons will not influence North Korean leader Kim Jong-un.

“U.S. nukes in South Korea won’t help the situation, as it only plays into North Korea’s propaganda hands,” King said. “I also don’t think Pyongyang would ever nuke the South anyway, as it wouldn’t want to spread nuclear fallout on territory that it considers its own.”

 

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New Sanctions, New Loopholes for North Korea http://sean-king.net/2017/09/13/new-sanctions-new-loopholes-north-korea/ Wed, 13 Sep 2017 00:08:31 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=636 On September 12, the United Nations Security Council unanimously passed a resolution that imposed a ban on North Korea’s textile exports and capped imports of crude oil. But analysts say that this latest round of sanctions will not stop the North’s illicit activities overseas to earn hard currency because they still provide loopholes that allow […]

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On September 12, the United Nations Security Council unanimously passed a resolution that imposed a ban on North Korea’s textile exports and capped imports of crude oil. But analysts say that this latest round of sanctions will not stop the North’s illicit activities overseas to earn hard currency because they still provide loopholes that allow it to evade sanctions.

Although the latest sanctions provide a position for the international community to make a strong, unified statement that North Korea’s pursuit of nuclear weapons is unacceptable, they are most likely insufficient to cause the Kim Jong-un regime to give up its nuclear ambitions.

The U.S. pushed for a complete oil embargo on the North, but due to opposition from China and Russia, that was moderated to an import cap.

The new resolution asks all UN members to inspect ships going in and out of the North’s ports, but although the U.S. had proposed that UN troops be authorized to use force, that was not part of the final language of the sanctions.

The new sanctions also miss areas that help North Korea obtain hard currency, such as cybercrime.

North Korea was linked to cyberattacks that targeted banks in Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Ecuador. The North Korean General Reconnaissance Bureau is linked to the WannaCry ransomware as well.

Sean King, Senior Vice President of Park Strategies, said, “Regime change is the only answer because the North will never give up its nukes but these sanctions won’t result in regime change, or collapse.”

King said that the most effective sanction would be a complete oil embargo.

“We must deny Pyongyang hard currency and whatever it needs to function at every turn,” King added. “In addition to China’s banks enabling the North to continue its weapons programs, the U.S. should immediately sanction and deny U.S. dollar access to any Chinese oil company that supplies Pyongyang.”

 

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US-N. Korea peace treaty a disasterous idea http://sean-king.net/2017/09/06/us-n-korea-peace-treaty-disasterous-idea/ Wed, 06 Sep 2017 22:46:56 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=625 Experts on North Korea warned that the United States should never sign a peace treaty with Pyongyang just to control its nuclear threats. With the North edging ever closer to becoming a state with nuclear weapons, there is a growing expectation that North Korea will demand a peace treaty with the U.S. by calling for […]

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Experts on North Korea warned that the United States should never sign a peace treaty with Pyongyang just to control its nuclear threats.

With the North edging ever closer to becoming a state with nuclear weapons, there is a growing expectation that North Korea will demand a peace treaty with the U.S. by calling for the withdrawal of U.S. forces from South Korea.

The experts said a peace treaty with the North would be Kim Jong-un’s strategy to delegitimize South Korea and make issues on the Korean Peninsula a strictly U.S.-North Korea affair.

“[The U.S.] signing a peace treaty with the North is just about the worst thing we could do,” Sean King, Senior Vice President of Park Strategies, told the Korea Times.

King pointed out that the Korean War started after North Korea attacked the south, so any agreement should be between the two Koreas.

“The North would never go for that because it would debunk the Kim Jong-un regime’s false ultranationalist Korean narrative that it is the only legitimate government for the entire peninsula,” King said.

King added that a North Korean precondition for any bogus peace treaty would surely be the removal of U.S. troops from South Korea and an end to the U.S.-South Korea Mutual Defense Treaty. This would leave the South vulnerable to another invasion by the North.

“Under this scenario, even by dismantling them, Pyongyang’s nukes would have achieved their purpose,” King said. “In short, a U.S.-North Korea peace treaty would be the disaster of all disasters.”

Other analysts said that the concept of a peace treaty as a way to “coax the North to denuclearize,” has been around for a long time, but that proposition is based on incorrect assumptions, and that peace agreements on the Korean Peninsula must include the equal leadership of South Korea, in defiance of the North’s goal of delegitimizing the South. Some even say that agreements must be done under the leadership of South Korea rather than the U.S. or any other country, such as China.

 

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Donald Trump’s Boycott Threats to North Korean Trading Partners ‘Unrealistic’ http://sean-king.net/2017/09/04/donald-trumps-boycott-threats-north-korean-trading-partners-unrealistic/ Mon, 04 Sep 2017 23:06:41 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=628 After what North Korea claimed to be “perfect success” in an underground test of what it called a hydrogen bomb, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened North Korea’s trading partners with an embargo. The president tweeted, “The United States is considering, in addition to other options, stopping all trade with any country doing business with North […]

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After what North Korea claimed to be “perfect success” in an underground test of what it called a hydrogen bomb, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened North Korea’s trading partners with an embargo. The president tweeted, “The United States is considering, in addition to other options, stopping all trade with any country doing business with North Korea.”

Experts say that option may not be realistic, considering that the U.S. imports about $40 billion in goods each month from North Korea’s main commercial partner, China.

New York-based political analyst Sean King, Senior Vice President at Park Strategies, said he wasn’t sure how realistic the president’s threat was.

“It’d be tough to stop all trade with countries that do business with North Korea,” King said. “But I at least, like how the president’s thinking here. To start, we can get real with U.S. friends and allies, asking them why they keep doing so much business with Pyongyang.”

King said there were steps the U.S. could take in the meantime.

“One real thing that we can do right now, assuming we can’t pass a North Korea oil embargo at the UN is to deny U.S. dollar access to any mainland Chinese oil company that supplies North Korea,” King said. “Do this tomorrow.”

However, China remains a vital trading partner for the U.S., and it is also North Korea’s biggest trading partner; it accounts for about 90 percent of trade with Pyongyang.

 

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Bloomberg Daybreak Asia: China Fears a NK Collapse 9-3-17 http://sean-king.net/2017/09/03/bloomberg-daybreak-asia-china-fears-nk-collapse-9-3-17/ Sun, 03 Sep 2017 21:31:16 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=618 Park Strategies Senior Vice President Sean King weighs in on the impact of North Korea’s nuclear bomb test on the markets and China, and talks about his thoughts on sanctions. He speaks on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Park Strategies Senior Vice President Sean King weighs in on the impact of North Korea’s nuclear bomb test on the markets and China, and talks about his thoughts on sanctions. He speaks on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia.” (Source: Bloomberg)

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Pyongyang launches missile over northern Japan: Sean King of Park Strategies talks to TRT World http://sean-king.net/2017/08/31/pyongyang-launches-missile-northern-japan-sean-king-park-strategies-talks-trt-world/ Thu, 31 Aug 2017 21:25:13 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=616 Global markets fell on August 29, 2017 as investors reacted to the latest missile launch from North Korea. The missile flew over the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido, before crashing into the sea. Sourav Roy reports and analysis by Sean King, an Asia Specialist at Park Strategies.

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Global markets fell on August 29, 2017 as investors reacted to the latest missile launch from North Korea. The missile flew over the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido, before crashing into the sea. Sourav Roy reports and analysis by Sean King, an Asia Specialist at Park Strategies.

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Bloomberg Daybreak Asia: NK Missile Launch 8-28-17 http://sean-king.net/2017/08/28/sean-king-park-strategies-bloomberg-daybreak-asia-nk-missile-launch-8-28-17/ Mon, 28 Aug 2017 20:07:26 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=604 Sean King, Senior Vice President at Park Strategies spoke with Angie Lau and Bryan Curtis, reacting to today’s North Korean missile launch. He discussed the likelihood of talks with the U.S. and explained that North Korea’s objective is to continue to freeze out the South. He finished by saying drastic sanctions are required.   Originally […]

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Sean King, Senior Vice President at Park Strategies spoke with Angie Lau and Bryan Curtis, reacting to today’s North Korean missile launch. He discussed the likelihood of talks with the U.S. and explained that North Korea’s objective is to continue to freeze out the South. He finished by saying drastic sanctions are required.

 

Originally posted here.

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ANC Early Edition Interview 8/20/17 http://sean-king.net/2017/08/20/anc-early-edition-interview-82017/ Sun, 20 Aug 2017 21:23:56 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=614 The post ANC Early Edition Interview 8/20/17 appeared first on Sean King Park Strategies.

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China & ASEAN Work Toward Code of Conduct in Disputed South China Sea http://sean-king.net/2017/08/07/china-asean-work-toward-code-conduct-disputed-south-china-sea/ Mon, 07 Aug 2017 21:48:18 +0000 http://sean-king.net/?p=601 Tough negotiations are ahead for China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) as they attempt to pull together a code of conduct for avoiding mishaps in the contested South China Sea. Beijing claims more than 90 percent of the 3.5 million-square-kilometer sea. This overlaps with areas Brunei, Malaysia, Vietnam, and the Philippines say […]

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Tough negotiations are ahead for China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) as they attempt to pull together a code of conduct for avoiding mishaps in the contested South China Sea.

Beijing claims more than 90 percent of the 3.5 million-square-kilometer sea. This overlaps with areas Brunei, Malaysia, Vietnam, and the Philippines say belongs to them. The code of conduct is aimed at avoiding accidents as those nations explore for oil, gas, and fish, as well as developing some of the many islets in the South China Sea.

Experts say China will oppose defining the scope of the sea, making the code binding, and any enforcement of actions that would limit its maritime activities.

China and ASEAN foreign ministers approved a framework code in Manila on Sunday. But China may fear that a code of conduct would expose or curb some of its marine activities.

The framework that was approved doesn’t have any specifics that might alarm China. Rather, it covers broad advice about avoiding incidents between aircraft and sea vessels.

ASEAN members will want a legally binding code with an enforcement scheme and ways of monitoring incidents. China is likely to protest any eventual code clauses on enforcement, legal authority, and South China Sea boundaries that cover islands it believes it controls outright.

It will also oppose any link to compliance with the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, says Sean King, Senior Vice President of Park Strategies.

Philippine foreign affairs spokesman Robespierre Bolivar said his country wants a legally binding code in the end—but, he told reporters, the code should reflect a consensus.

 

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